Thursday, June 28, 2007

FOREX RETAIL

The Retail forex (Retail Currency Trading or Retail Forex or Retail FX) market is a subset of the much larger Foreign exchange market. The Foreign Exchange market trades around 1.9 trillion daily, and retail trading is about 20 - 25 billion of that volume.


History

Retail trading, is more structured than the forex market as a whole.[citation needed] While forex has been traded since the beginning of financial markets, modern retail trading has only been around since about 1996 . Prior to this time, retail investors were limited in their options for entering the forex market. They could create multiple bank accounts, each one denominated in a different currency, and transfer funds from one account to another in order to profit from fluctuating exchange rate. This was troublesome, however, because the transaction costs incurred were large due to the small quantity of funds being converted relative to the size of the market. This transaction type was at the very bottom of the forex pyramid.

By 1996, new market makers took advantage of developments in web-based technology that made retail forex trading practical. These internet-based market makers would take the other side of retail trader’s trades. The new companies felt that there was enough liquidity in the forex market, and eventually within their own customer base, to guarantee markets under all but the most unusual market conditions. These companies also created online trading platforms that provided a quick and easy way for individuals to buy and sell on the Forex Spot market. In addition, the companies realized that by pooling many retail traders together, they had the size to enter the upper echelons of the forex market, which reduced the size of the spread. As the business grew, the market makers were given better prices, which they then passed on to the customer.

Market makers got around this issue by allowing customers to inflate all movements many times over. In the world of online currency exchange, no transaction actually leads to physical delivery to the client; all positions will eventually be closed. The market makers are therefore able to offer high amounts of leverage. While up to 4:1 leverage is available in equities and 20:1 in Futures, it is common to have 100:1 leverage in currencies; some forex market makers offer up to 400:1. In the typical 100:1 scenario, the client absorbs all risks associated with controlling a position 100 times the capital they are putting up, and, given that the money is only being used for currency exchange and on the market makers’ books, the transaction can proceed.

Current spreads for the most common currency pair, EUR/USD, is typically 3 pips (3/100th of a percent). An equivalent trade using a bank account would most likely be between 200 and 500 pips, while an equivalent trade using cash at an exchange institution would be around 750 – 2500 pips.

Currencies are quoted in pairs i.e. EUR/USD (Euro vs. United States Dollar). Out of convention, the currency quoted first was the stronger currency at the time of inception.

Top 6 Most Traded Currencies
Rank Currency ISO 4217 Code Symbol
1 United States dollar USD $
2 Eurozone euro EUR
3 Japanese yen JPY ¥
4 British pound sterling GBP £
5-6 Swiss franc CHF -
5-6 Australian dollar AUD $

Key Concepts Behind A Retail Forex Trade

Retail Forex Trading

As previously mentioned, currencies fluctuate relative to other currencies. Take two of the most common currency pairs, the EUR/USD (the price for Euros in US dollars) and the GBP/USD (the price for The Great British Pound in US dollars). If there is positive economic news in the Euro zone and negative economic news in the United Kingdom, it is very conceivable that the EUR/USD would go up in value, meaning it is now more expensive in US dollars to purchase one EUR, and that the GBP/USD would go down in value, meaning it is now cheaper to buy Great British Pounds with US dollars. In this scenario, the US dollar went up in value against one currency and down in relation to another. It is important to understand this idea that currency pairs move mostly independently from one another. Currency pairs with similar currencies on one side (like the USD in the previous example) can be similarly affected by news regarding the common currency, but the crucial concept is that they don’t have to be.

Retail Forex is usually highly leveraged

The idea of margin (leverage) and floating loss is another important trading concept and is perhaps best understood using an example. Most retail Forex market makers permit 100:1 leverage, but also, crucially, require you to have a certain amount of money in your account to protect against a critical loss point. For example, if a $100,000 position is held in Eur/USD on 100:1 leverage, the trader has to put up $1,000 to control the position. However, in the event of a declining value of your positions, Forex market makers, mindful of the fast nature of Forex price swings and the amplifying effect of leverage, typically do not allow their traders to go negative and make up the difference at a later date. In order to make sure the trader does not lose more money than is held in the account, Forex market makers typically employ automatic systems to close out positions when clients run out of margin (the amount of money in their account not tied to a position). If the trader has $2,000 in his account, and he is buying a $100,000 lot of EUR/USD, he has $1,000 of his $2,000 tied up in margin, with $1,000 left to allow his position to fluctuate downward without being closed out.

Typically a trader's trading platform will show him three important numbers associated with his account: his balance, his equity, and his margin remaining. If trader X has two positions: $100,000 long (buy) in EUR/USD, and $100,000 short (sell) in GBP/USD, and he has $10,000 in his account, his positions would look as follows: Because of the 100:1 leverage, it took him $1,000 to control each position. This means that he has used up $2,000 in his margin, out of a $10,000 account, and thus he has $8,000 of margin still available. With this margin, he can either take more positions or keep the margin relatively high to allow his current positions to be maintained in the event of downturns. If the client chooses to open a new position of $100,000, this will again take another $1,000 of his margin, leaving $7,000. He will have used up $3,000 in margin among the three positions. The other way margin will decrease is if the positions he currently has open lose money. If his 3 positions of $100,000 decrease by $5,000 in value (not at all an unusual swing), he now has, of his original $7,000 in margin, only $2,000 left. As discussed above, if you have a $10,000 account and only open one $100,000 position, this has committed only $1,000 of your money plus you must maintain $1,000 in margin. While this leaves $9,000 free in your account, it is possible to lose almost all of it if the position dives. On the other hand, if you have 5 positions open in a $10,000 account, you can lose only $5,000 because the other $5,000 is held in margin. However, this does not make it safer to hold more positions. The Forex market fluctuates so rapidly, that with shallow margins, you are much more likely to be closed out of your position and lose it entirely when it might have recovered from a temporary fluctuation if you had had sufficient margin to cover the variation. The more positions open at one time, the more risk the trader is exposed to.

Transaction costs and market makers

Market makers are well compensated for allowing retail clients to enter the Forex market. They take part or all of the spread in all currency pairs traded. In a common example, EUR/USD, the spread is typically 3 pips (3/100 of a percent). Thus prices are quoted with both a Buy and Sell price (e.g., Buy Eur/USD 1.2000, Sell Eur/USD 1.2003). That difference of 3 pips is the spread and can amount to a significant amount of money. (Note: the spread is only taken out at the beginning of the trade; this transaction cost is subtracted only upon entering the trade, not leaving it) Because the typical standard lot is 100,000 units of the base currency, those 3 pips on EUR/USD translate to $30 paid by the client to the market maker. However, a pip is not always $10. A pip is 1/100th of a percent, and the currency pairs are always purchased by buying 100,000 of the base currency, which is also known as the counter currency. For the pair EUR/USD, the base currency is USD; thus, 1/100th of a percent on a pair with USD as the base currency will always have a pip of $10. If, on the other hand, your currency has Swiss Frank (CHF) as a base instead of USD, then 1/100th of a percent is now worth around $8, because you are buying 100,000 worth of Swiss Franks.

If a trader with a $10,000 account on 100:1 leverage felt, after reading reports on the economy, that the USD was going to go up in value against the EUR and the CHF, he would Sell EUR/USD (thus selling EUR and buying USD) and Buy USD/CHF (buying USD and selling CHF). The transaction is all electronic, so the trader doesn’t need to have Euros in his account. On a large scale, the market maker can sell Euros on behalf of the trader, knowing that the position will eventually be closed and converted back to USD. Assume that the client sold 100,000 EUR/USD at 1.2000 and bought 100,000 USD/CHF at 1.2500. Seconds after this transaction, his account would read: Balance: $10,000, Equity $9,946. The loss of $54 is due to the transaction cost taken only at the entry of a position of 3 pips, which translates to $30 for the EUR/USD pair and $24 for the USD/CHF pair. With equity of $9,946 on 100:1 leverage with 2 positions opened, $2,000 is now held in margin, leaving the trader $7,946 in usable margin. Suppose the EUR/USD (sold at 1.2003) starts to move against the trader and goes up in value to 1.2013, while the USD/CHF (bought at 1.2500) starts moving for the client and also goes up in value to 1.2515. His account information will have changed but his balance and margin will remain unchanged at $10,000 and $2,000 respectively. His equity and his usable margin, however, will change to reflect the new market conditions. While for the trader, the platform will calculate this all automatically, it is important to see it step by step.

Beginning Summary
Client Account: XXX
Balance $10,000
Equity: $ 10,000
Usable Margin: $10,000
Used Margin: $0

Step 1: Client XXX places two trades.
Sells 1 standard lot EUR/USD (100,000 worth of the base currency -- USD)
Buys 1 standard lot of USD/CHF (100,000 worth of the base currency – CHF)

Balance remains: $10,000
Equity: $9,946 (roughly, due to transaction costs of 3 pips each. $30 – EUR/USD transaction cost $24 USD/CHF transaction cost---the difference is due to difference in pip value)
Usable Margin: $7,946
Used Margin $2,000

Step 2: Market Conditions Change, with EUR/USD going up 10 pips (a 10 pip decrease in value to the client, since he is short EUR/USD), while the USD/CHF has increased in value by 15 pips.

EUR/USD pair has lost 10 pips, with each pip $10 so it has lost $100
USD/CHF has gained 15 pips, with each pip around $8 so it gained $120
The difference is now +$20

Balance: $10,000
Equity: $9,966
Usable Margin: $7966
Used Margin: $2000

Step 3: Client closes both positions (by performing the opposite trade – Buying EUR/USD and Selling USD/CHF). He now has no positions in the market, and his money is no longer fluctuating with the market.

Balance: $9,966
Equity: $9,966
Usable Margin: $9,966
Used Margin: $0

Financial Instruments

There are several types of financial instruments commonly used.

Forwards: One way to deal with the Forex risk is to engage in a forward transaction. In this transaction, money does not actually change hands until some agreed upon future date. A buyer and seller agree on an exchange rate for any date in the future, and the transaction occurs on that date, regardless of what the market rates are then. The duration of the trade can be a few days, months or years.

Futures: Foreign currency futures are forward transactions with standard contract sizes and maturity dates — for example, 500,000 British pounds for next November at an agreed rate. Futures are standardized and are usually traded on an exchange created for this purpose. The average contract length is roughly 3 months. Futures contracts are usually inclusive of any interest amounts.

Swaps: The most common type of forward transaction is the currency swap. In a swap, two parties exchange currencies for a certain length of time and agree to reverse the transaction at a later date. These are not contracts and are not traded through an exchange.

Spot: A spot transaction is a two-day delivery transaction, as opposed to the Futures contracts, which are usually three months. This trade represents a “direct exchange” between two currencies, has the shortest time frame, involves cash rather than a contract; and interest is not included in the agreed-upon transaction. The data for this study come from the Spot market.

The Difference between Spot and Futures in Forex

Before a description of retail trading, it is important to understand the difference between the Spot and Futures markets. Futures are generally based on contracts, with typical durations of 3 months. Spot, on the other hand, is a two-day cash delivery. While the Futures markets was created to hedge out risks and speculate on future market conditions, Spot was created to allow actual cash deliveries. Spot developed a two-day delivery date in order to give those transporting the actual cash a window of time to receive it. While in theory there still is a two-day delivery date imposed after a Forex transaction, this is effectively no longer used. Every day, at 5 pm EST (the predetermined end of the trading day) Spot positions are closed and then reopened. This is done in order to guarantee an unlimited timeline for delivery. For example, if a Spot transaction occurs on a Monday, the delivery date is Wednesday. At 5 pm on Monday, the position is closed and then immediately re-opened; now this is a new position with the close date of Thursday. This daily process allows an investor to hold open a position indefinitely.

Another important difference between Futures and Spot is how interest is credited. Each currency in a Forex transaction has an inherent interest rate attached to it. In the case of the US dollar, this is the Federal Funds Rate. This interest is added every single day whether the market is trading or not. Interest cannot take a vacation; money and its loaning value are still important even if the financial world has stopped dealing. In Futures, the interest is built into the price of the contract. In Spot, however, interest is not taken into account in the offering price because the Spot market is a cash market, not a contract market. There must be some mechanism for crediting interest, and various institutions have developed ways to do it. The most common method is to credit that day’s worth of interest at the same time they “flip” the position, or carry it over to the next day. This is important for later discussions and analysis because the transactions examined in this study had interest credited at the end of the business day at exactly 5 pm EST. If a position was held from 5:01 pm on Tuesday and closed at 4:59 pm on Wednesday, no interest would be credited for that day. If, on the other hand, a position was opened Tuesday at 4:59 pm and closed Tuesday 5:01 pm, a full day’s interest would be credited. This has interesting ramifications; traders who work intra-day, or “day traders,” often do not use interest for either gain or loss.

Tuesday, June 12, 2007

Forex Workshops

Forex Workshops


Fast-track your forex skills - free of charge.

Before diving into the world's most traded market, FOREX.com invites you to attend a free informational workshop, Getting Started in Forex.

Every day, world events impact currency prices. Let us help you understand how to identify opportunities in the Forex market and diversify your investments.

Join the forex team of insiders.

Led by seasoned forex traders, these workshops bring you practical insider advice on trading the currency markets to win. You'll walk away from these sessions with an understanding of:
  • Five secrets every forex trader should know for success

  • Applying your trading skills from other markets to forex's unique challenges and opportunities

  • Reading price charts for key trend formations – and translating them into trading opportunities

  • A primer of the major currency pairs, plus anticipating the factors driving their movements
Source: www.forex.com

Sunday, June 10, 2007

Forex? What is it, anyway?

The market

The currency trading (FOREX) market is the biggest and the fastest growing market on earth. Its daily turnover is more than 2.5 trillion dollars, which is 100 times greater than the NASDAQ daily turnover. (click here to read full market background by Easy-ForexT).

Markets are places to trade goods. The same goes with FOREX. The Forex goods (or merchandise) are the currencies of various countries. You buy Euro, paying with US dollars, or you sell Japanese Yens for Canadian dollars. That's all.

How does one profit in Forex?

Very simple and obvious: buy cheap and sell for more! The profit is generated from the fluctuations (changes) in the currency exchange market.

The nice thing about the FOREX market, is that regular daily fluctuations, say - around 1%, are multiplied by 100! (in general, Easy-ForexT offers trading ratios from 1:50 to 1:200). If, for example, the exchange rate of "your" pair of currencies increased by 0.6% in the last 4 hours, your profit will be 60% on your investment! Such can happen in one business day, or in a few hours, even minutes.

Moreover, you cannot lose more than your "margin"! You may profit unlimited amounts, but you never lose more than what you initially risked and invested.

You can implement your choice (the pair of currencies, the volume amount) under any direction to which the market is moving, and yet make profit. It does not matter whether the exchange rate is going up or down: you can always decide to buy Euro and sell dollar, or vice versa - buy dollar and sell Euro. You don't have to physically possess certain currencies in order to perform "buy" or "sell" with them.

How do I start?

Register (Easy-ForexT offers the simplest and quickest registration process, no obligation); deposit your first trading "margin" amount (credit cards are welcome, only by Easy-ForexT); start trading.

It can't be simpler or easier than that. Need help? We'll provide you with 1-on-1 training and service, as much as necessary (Easy-ForexT offers real people service, live, in your own language).

Source: http://www.allindianewspapers.com

Forex

Forex is short for foreign exchange. When one speaks of a forex profit or loss, he is talking about the increased or decreased value of an investment caused solely by currency movements. For example, if an investor thought that the dollar was weak, he might purchase German money markets. The investor's account might earn 3% annualized, but the real profit or loss could be in how the DM (German mark) moves against the US$ (United States dollar). If the investor held the DM money market for an entire year, and if the DM rose 5% against the dollar, the investment would, in real returns, make not only the 3% annualized interest, but 5% on the principal and 5% of the 3% interest.

Example: Say the investor put US$10,000 in DM at 3%, with the 3% held to maturity. If the DM rose 5% against the dollar during the year, when the investor was paid at maturity and exchanged his DM back into US$, he would receive, in total, his $10,000 investment -- plus five percent of the $10,000 (the forex increase)-- plus three percent of the interest paid on $10,000 (stated money market interest rate) -- plus five percent of the three percent interest (the forex increase which would accrue even on the interest, because the interest would be paid in DM).

The investor would receive: $10,000 + .05 ($10,000) + .03 ($10,000) + .05 (.03) $10,000 = $10,815, or a profit of $815. This is a return of 8.15%. The investor would have made 3% at any rate, even if the mark had not changed against the dollar. That is, he would have made .03 ($10,000) = $300. Therefore his forex profit is $815-$300= $515, or 5.15%.

Source - http://www.garyascott.com/currez/glossary.html

24 Hours Forex Trading

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How to Trade Your Demo: Use this time to make a plan.
Choose the right currency pair. Find out based on your risk parameters, which currency is best suited for your trading style. Some may be too volatile and some too slow so decide which currency pair is most appropriate for your strategy and time frame.
Decide on how long you plan to stay in a trade. If you are an inter day trader, what is the average time of your trade, few minutes, couple of hours a full day, swing trade (couple of days to a week).
Before you enter a trade you should also have clear exit plan. Place your stops and limits accordingly.
Know how much you are willing to risk and how much you are looking to gain.
Keep track of important news and technical levels, which may be tested within your time frame.

Source: http://www.24hourforex.com/getting_started.htm